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Decision Sensitivity

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Identify which uncertainties would actually change the research direction decision. Compute EVPI to prioritize uncertainty reduction.

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  • Added June 1, 2026
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Scanned June 1, 2026

npx -y skills add yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine --skill decision-sensitivity --agent claude-code

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SKILL.md
---
name: decision-sensitivity
description: Identify which uncertainties would actually change the research direction decision. Compute EVPI to prioritize uncertainty reduction.
used-by: sensitivity-analysis
---

# Decision Sensitivity

Focus on uncertainties that change decisions, not just numbers.

## Budget

| Base SOP | Target | ±10% Range |
|----------|--------|------------|
| web-search | 25 | 22–28 |
| web-research | 10 | 9–11 |
| paper-overview | 25 | 22–28 |
| paper-search | 15 | 13–17 |
| paper-research | 10 | 9–11 |

## State Ledger

```
<HARD-GATE>
| SOP | Done | Target | % |
|-----|------|--------|---|
| web-search | ? | 25 | ? |
| web-research | ? | 10 | ? |
| paper-overview | ? | 25 | ? |
| paper-search | ? | 15 | ? |
| paper-research | ? | 10 | ? |
Budget Gate: OPEN/CLOSED (>=80% required to exit)
</HARD-GATE>
```

## Available SOPs

**Import:** web-search, web-research, paper-overview, paper-search, paper-research
**Subagent:** critical-path-identification, sensitivity-synthesis

## Execution Guidance

Identify which uncertainties would actually change the research direction decision. Compute Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI) for each uncertain parameter. Focus resources on reducing uncertainty with highest EVPI.

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